Monday, April 28, 2008

Why The Worst May Be Over



I found this article interesting because it has some compelling arguments for economic recovery.

Also because, just like a depressed Seattle-ite in March that hasn't seen the sun for 8.67 months, I am dying for a little sunlight and cheer to break through all the grey economic overcast.

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Change = Opportunity

I love times of change. I've watched my clients leverage themselves into some amazing deals.

If you make the right decisions now, you'll reap the rewards within the next 5 years. Two years ago a buyer couldn't buy anything because they were outbid on everything that looked attractive. I had clients with 30% down, excellent financials and Letters of Credit from SIVB - that couldn't buy anything!!

Today, the buyer with the cash is queen.

Thursday, April 17, 2008

What are the chances that San Jose Home Prices Will Be Lower In Two Years?

About 51%, according to the PMI group report.

I found it interesting that Dallas Fort Worth had a less than 1% risk while Riverside came in at the top with a 93% probability of lower home values in two years.

Saturday, April 5, 2008

Profiting From The Market Misery











I love a down market. All this uncertainty has property values dropping faster than a womanizer drops a date that says the "L" word.

The statistical figures are starting to show some significant drops - in the 20-30%ranges - and I don't see daylight yet.

I like this NNN leased investment. It's got a lease guaranteed by CVS corporate. It's 2.3M and returns a 12.58 cap rate. Unheard of only 2 years ago!

Or 48 units in Los Gatos for $12.22M, net income of $568,277 and 4.61 cap. based on actual rents. Just a year ago we were seeing 3-4 caps based on proforma rents.

So, there are a lot of investment opportunities in the market. It hasn't been this great a time to buy since 1993-1994! If I only would have kept the house I bought in 1993, in willow glen, for $172K.....